The following table ranks the cash-flow impact of nine titles for each of six newsagents in my research into the cash-flow impact of magazines. Positions 1 through 5 are the worst performing titles by the cash-flow measure. I have included positions 20, 30, 40 and 50 to illustrate the distance between these and the worst titles.
This cash-flow research has uncovered the bottom performing titles as the problem. While newsagents complain about the impact of competition t the popular title end of the marketplace, these titles are strongly cash-flow positive. It is at the end of the marketplace which newsagent competitors do not touch where the cash-flow problems occur.
In the six case study newsagencies, the annual cash-flow of the bottom 50 titles ranges from $-3,739.00 for the rural newsagency to $-16,655.00 for one of the suburban newsagencies.
The bottom 50 titles account for between 18% and 20% of all negative cash flow. Put another way, eliminating the bottom 50 titles in the case study newsagencies would cut negative cash-flow by between 18% and 20%.
Given the way newsagencies are valued, a cash-flow savings of $4,000 conservatively equates to a $12,000 increase in the sale price sought for a newsagency by between $12,000 and $60,000.
There are some titles which the data suggests ought to be eliminated altogether and others which will need to be considered on a store by store basis. Network wide title elimination cold be undertaken by analysing consumer satisfaction within categories. Newsagents carry too many magazines in the Wedding, Hair, Computer and Car categories. Titles cold be eliminated without consumers noticing. Newsagents would save millions in cash-flow terms over a year.
These numbers are an indictment against the magazine supply model and the companies in control of that supply model. Newsagents cannot sustain such losses from a small number of titles.
Newsagents need to consider cutting the bottom 50 titles from their product mix. Doing this would not impact their range point of difference. Magazine distributors have an obligation to work with newsagents on this. I would be interested to hear what the ACCC would say if a magazine distributor continued to supply product in a situation where a newsagent has proven that continued supply creates a loss situation for them.
Magazines are important to newsagents, especially the range they carry which no other retail outlet carries. However, equity has to return to magazine supply arrangements and I content this begins with elimination of the bottom 50 titles from each shop or at least supply on terms which are equitable than those imposed by distributors today.