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Trends

The fidget ‘fad’ is back

In case you missed it or had not been told by those you rely on for product trend advice, the fidget fad is back, and it is bigger than when it was last here.

Whereas a few years ago it was all about fidget spinners, this year, in 2021, the fidget fad is represented through terrific sales of a ton of products from plenty of suppliers.

We saw the strength of fidget products overseas from supplier presentations connected with the Toy fair in the US as well as the Toy Fair related content here in the last week.

It is also evident fro m social media posts from influencers and retailers in the US and UK.

The fidget fad is back and sales at the counter and front of store traffic locations are easy.

Newsagents can be toy shops at this opportunity.

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Trends

Toy-focussed newsagents benefit from extraordinary toy sales growth

The latest toy sales basket data analysis by the NPD group based on sales data from independent toy retailers, not newsagents, for The Australian Toy Association reveals terrific results in the toy space. Newsagents active in toys with a defined department offer would be doing as well. The headlines from the October sales analysis are excellent

  1. October is the 8th consecutive month of double digit dollar growth.
  2. All major categories posted growth:
    Youth Electronics +86 %
    Arts & Crafts +68%
    Games & Puzzles 48%
  3. Average price grew 3%
  4. 19 of 20 Key Manufacturers grew for month
  5. YTD Games & Puzzles largest growing category
    – With building Sets the largest $$$ gain
  6. Top 5 gaining properties Oct 2019 v Oct 2020
    BLUEY
    NINTENDO
    OUR GENERATION
    LEGO SUPER MARIO BROTHERS
    POKEMON

These are excellent results revealed in this comprehensive report. Here is a snapshot from one page of the NPD report FYI:

Now, bringing the analysis closer to home and looking at data for toys in newsagencies, and specifically newsagencies where toys are 10% or more of revenue, the results are excellent. In October, those businesses meeting this criteria reported year on year revenue growth in toys of 65% or more.

These stores typically have a permeant toy department offer in-store with established brands and regular enhancement of range. Typically, they cover all ages from baby to 80+ because, as the sales this year have shown, everyone can be a toy customer.

Diving even deeper, newsagencies with a webstore more than 3 months old saw 25% of toy revenue come from online.

While it might be reasonable to say these results are Covid related, the reality is that some ope the growth will stick as some shoppers have discovered new retailers and new ways of in home and out of home entertainment.

Suppliers and analysis I speak with in Australia and overseas are predicting a good year for toys in 2021 on the back of what has been achieved in 2020.

Now, to a footnote – there are a couple of categories within toys that some old and tired retailers wrote off as done and over. These categories have lead the growth and delivered extradorinaiy sales. My point is saying this is that customers tell you what’s hot and not more so than tired old retailer eyes.

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Newsagency benchmark

Interesting trends at Hong Kong Toy & Stationery Fair

I am grateful for the opportunity of a day and a half at the Hong Toy, Licensing and Stationery Fair earlier this week. It was good to see the trends from the perspective of manufacturing companies throughout Asia and Europe. This fair and several others between now and mid February help set the plans for many Australian wholesalers for the back half of this year and the first half of next year. My goal in being at some of these trade shows is to offer retail perspective to wholesaler decisions.

With toys playing such an important role in an evolving newsagency, 25% and more of retail turnover, being on trend matters.

Sort of related: on the bushfires, I got back from Hong Kong Wednesday night. At the Fair I met with manyChinese suppliers. In years at such trade shows people never ask about Australia. This trip, everyone asked and commented about the bushfires. Plenty commented about the Prime Minister and about Australia’s inaction on climate change.

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Trends

Growth in higher price-point toy revenue in Australia

Good news: Independent industry driven analysis of toy purchases at retail in Australia in the last financial year reveals significant growth in $10+ product purchase points.

All price point bands above $10 show growth in the research results. Even at the $50+ point, which accounts for 25% of revenue, we see 3% year on year growth.

Elsewhere in the report is evidence that the toys category is strong. I see this also in the benchmark data I access and from my own stores at a local business level.

What is most interesting is the insights as to licence and key brand opportunities. With toys being a fickle category and prone to quick growth and quick decline, having good data can be key to driving success.

I think any newsagency in any location could offer a consistent toy range and use this to attract new shoppers to the business.

While I am still working on a benchmark ratio, I am leaning toward to suggesting a reasonable goal could be toy revenue equal to at least 50% of card revenue While I know stores significantly above this, most the of the newsagency channel is below so I think a modest benchmark revenue goal is more useful at this time.  In considering this, toys means toys plus puzzles, plush and collectibles as that is how the analysts assess it.

And to be clear, the toys I am talking about here are those from major suppliers, not cheap generic brand toys you might put on a spinner on consignment.

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Newsagency opportunities

Squishies doing better than fidget spinners in the newsagency

Squishies have been performing well for months. While sales to regular shoppers are excellent, their attraction of new traffic is even better.

This high-margin category is already outperforming fidget spinners in terms of full year bottom-line value to the business.

What you see in the lease line display is low in stock weight. Squishies turn fast: 4+ times in two months.

The display attracts kids, who pull in parents. The typical basket has two squishies and several other items from the business. This is where there is terrific value on the category for the business.

I also like that squishies fit with our broader toy and games pitch, enabling us to even better serve those shoppers.

I expect the opportunity with squishies to continue to Christmas and at least early into the 2019 holiday season. It is the direct imported products that are performing best for us as our range is competitive with Smiggle, K-Mart, Target and others in range and price.

This post is about more than squishies. It is about being opportunistic, early to engage with a trend, sourcing outside slower supplier channels, and, promoting widely outside the business to leverage the new traffic opportunities.

This is retail today – playing outside tradition, leveraging high margin and reaching out for new customers who might otherwise pass the business by.

Squishies are easy to dismiss as a cheap toy. In my experience and the experience of retailers who have been in this space for over a year, they are much more than a toy. They are a genuine opportunity for our businesses.

Footnote: to any trolls planning to comment here to seek to distract from the insights shared and the optimism of the opportunity, go on, knock yourselves out. The efforts three or four people are going to in comments here to distract from positive posts is extraordinary. You can see the strength off their concision by their anonymity.

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Gifts

Learning about toy trends in 2017

I spent all yesterday at Spielwarenmesse, the International Toy Fair in Nuremberg, Germany, a specialised toy and related products trade fair. Across the twelve massive halls (I walked 15km) the fair hosts 2,800 toy, game, hobby, plush, collectible and related exhibitors, around a third of whom do not do any other trade show.

Brands represented in Australia through local offices or distributors have on show at this fair a bigger range. This is vital if you want to go deeper than is currently available in Australia.

I know of several local distributors who like retailer feedback for when they are planning what they may or may not take from suppliers at this fair in Nuremberg.

The most valuable outcome from being at the fair for me, however, is spotting the trends in several key categories strongly represented at the fair. It is at Nuremberg that you can see what will be hot through Christmas 2017. Having this information now, in February, can be a competitive advantage and that is why I want to be in Germany at this time of the year.

I saw several break out products that I am sure will be the bestsellers through Christmas. Australian distributors won’t launch them for another month or two by which time production for the second half of the year will be locked away.

Time is everything in today’s marketplace. Having knowledge ahead of others has a value. This is why I invest to be at events like this one in Nuremberg today and Paperworld in Frankfurt earlier in the week.

I appreciate I am not being specific in my comments here. That is deliberate. However, I will say this: toys are a growing category in retail and especially in newsagencies. In 2017, the term toys means something quite different to what it referred to just a few years ago.

Through toys we can attract new shoppers. Most of that will happen from suppliers who are not natural newsagency suppliers, suppliers who are probably not calling on newsagents today.

The best part about toys in my opinion is the brands that offer deep engagement. Do it well and consistently and the value of the customer reaches way beyond the first sale. This is where the retailer needs to be more than a shopkeeper, they need to share the passion and enable to long-term relationship with the brand. This is what specialty retail is all about.

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Newsagency opportunities

Shopkins from GNS a hot licence to stock in the newsagency

IMG_9289The Shopkins products available through GNS are worth stocking. Having these on display and promoting them through Facebook pitches your business with a relevance that pushes back on the community perception of newsagency businesses. They display well and offer an up-sell for people purchasing Shopkins products sent through a magazine distributor. We have then in a couple of locations: at the counter and in our toy department.

From a category perspective, Shopkins is in a category called building sets. In a recent confidential toy industry report, building sets overtook outdoor & sports toys in sales. Sales for the building sets category is up 8% year on year. Shopkins is the top property,. It overtook Barbie. Shopkins has added $6.5 million of value in the year to 30 June.

This is why the GNS range should interest proactive newsagents.

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Newsagency opportunities

Shopkins collector cards popular

IMG_9199If you have stock of the Shopkins collector cards my advice is have them at kid’s level where they can reach them. This will help sales and give you an opportunity to pitch the other Shopkins products you sell.

Shopkins is a rapidly growing brand globally. The best indicator is YouTube video views – in the hundreds of millions. Kids recognise this brand. hence my advice to make the most of the opportunity.

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Trends

Licenced products that ought to be on newsagents’ radar

License magazine has published the top toy licences for boys and girls for 2014. It’s a shopping list for newsagents who want to be strong in this space.

2014 Top Toys for Boys

  1. LEGO
  2. Cars and trucks
  3. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles
  4. Video games
  5. Hot Wheels
  6. Xbox One
  7. PlayStation4
  8. Transformers
  9. Remote-controlled vehicles
  10. (Tie) Marvel action figures–Tablet/Apple iPad

2014 Top Toys for Girls

  1. Disney Frozen
  2. Barbie
  3. Dolls (generic)
  4. Monster High dolls
  5. American Girl
  6. LEGO
  7. Tablet/Apple iPad
  8. My Little Pony
  9. Disney Doc McStuffins
  10. Apparel

While independent newsagents will struggle to get into some licences because of how suppliers operate, the list provides an excellent goal shopping list when planning for 2015. Sure, there are some entries that do not play in Australia – but overall the list is very useful not only in the toy category but elsewhere in the business.

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Newsagency opportunities

Jungle Ants a fresh take on an old toy product

kidsholidaysjungleantsWe have brought in Jungle Ants in time for school holidays as part of broader story we plan to tell on activity related gifts / toys.

Ant farms have been around forever and it’s terrific to see them packaged in a fresh and enticing way as these Jungle Ants are. We’ve got a whole new generation of kids to introduce these fun things to.

Planning ahead for school holidays is more important than ever for newsagents as we compete more with toy shops and gift shops. School holidays and excellent opportunity to entice new shoppers into our stores. It’s the time for fresh – non-traditional – window displays that speak to the kids and young families who are out in force during this time.

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Gifts

The relevance of the Lego brand

All around is, in some old businesses, we and see lessons of maintaining and even growing relevance. Lego is one such brand. The company itself continues to innovate. more important, it partners with others to innovate.  From the retail examples I have shared here of innovative retail stores to new products, Lego is as relevant today – to new kids and to the nostalgia shopper.

Check out a video about a Lego pancake making machine. It’s fascinating on a range of levels from what it actually does to showing off how Lego is more than building bricks.

My takeaways are don’t be bound by your original business plan or the expectation of the majority about who you are and what you do.

It’s Saturday morning and time for breakfast. I wish I has one of these up and running right now.

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Fun

More capacity in mobile phone space

It’s easy to be lulled into a sense of saturation when you consider the number of mobile phones per capita in Australia and other first world countries – thinking that more retail space selling the devices is not needed.

The reality is that telcos and others are expanding the retail footprint selling mobile phones. This is helped by churn – people switching telcos, new devices – the continued rise of the Android and additional purpose need – the desire to separate work and personal use and therefor have additional devices.

I’ve been looking at the UK market this morning and see that Phone 4U is rolling out 100 new retail locations this year. I understand that a couple of Australian telcos are also targeting retail footprint growth this year.

I mention this for consideration by newsagents looking for changes in-store this year and for additional traffic drivers. becoming a telco specialist will work well in some situations, especially high street and regional and rural situations. I know several newsagency businesses that are local telco destinations and they appreciate the new traffic this brings.

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Newsagency opportunities

More suppliers join the interactive product play

I have written here previously about the tremendous success we have been having with the interactive story book, card and toy range from Hallmark.  They and interactive products from other suppliers, are now a vital part of the card and gift mix in-store with excellent year on year growth.

Bloomberg recently published a story about US toymaker Hasbro refreshing it’s popular Furby product into an interactive toy. They are targeting Furby players from decades ago with a retro pitch and today’s kids with an interactive pitch.

A good gift department in any newsagency today has an excellent mix of interactive toys and gifts, taking the product beyond the static of yesteryear and somehow interacting with people as well as devices such as the iPad, iPod and iPhone. These toys that interact with sound from other devices are hot this year in Australia from what the sales data I can see. We are gearing up for Christmas by expanding the range.

The Merry-Oke product from Hallmark was a top-seller last year. While we expected good sales this year we did not anticipate the very strong early interest. Indeed, sales have been so strong we have ordered more.

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Trends

Is Biebermania over?

Sales of magazines with Justin Bieber on the cover are not what they once were so I did some research. It seems that his latest music release is not selling all that well.

While we are promoting several current Bieber themed titles and sales are okay, we are always watching for a hot trend fades – so we can limit our exposure in terms of inventory, space and time.

Maybe Justin’s time in the spotlight is coming to an end. Maybe music sales aren’t the indicator of popularity they used to be. All we can go is our own magazine sales.

PS. I have started a new category for the blog – Trends – I’ll use this when writing about a trend … to make finding these items easier.

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magazines