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retail

How the government’s inaction on retail tenancy in this COVID-19 world is problematic for small business retailers

The Prime Minister late yesterday asked business owners and landlords to sit down and work with each other to find a solution to the retail tenancy challenge presented by the restrictions imposed in government responses to COVID-19.

Based on my work with retailers in many situations, city, country, high street and mall, the approach of sitting with landlords will not work for most.

While some individual landlords have already delivered practical help with rent holidays and rent discounts, too many have not. In the shopping mall situation, I am not aware of any of the major landlords like Westfield offering any financial support. Indeed, in my now experience with Westfield, their approach has been quite threatening – don’t close, pay your rent on time.

At the independent landlord point, I have seen discounts as high 75% for six months put in place, April / May rent free in a couple of situations. The most common discount I have seen is 50% off for April with a commitment to reassess.

My experience is that independent landlords are more likely to act sooner and at a more valuable level.

This is where the Prime Minister’s announced approach is problematic as it relies on too much work to be done, too many conversations to be had. Big landlords like Westfield operate in silos, they treat each tenant differently with independent small business retailers usually be treated worse than big retailers.

What we need is national consistency. We need this urgently. We need the federal government to set a position, urgently, that all – retailers and landlords – can rem;y on as a single national position. Without this. the weak will carry the higher per square meter cost, as is the case today.

I urge the Prime Minister and others in authority to resolve this nationally for the benefit of the mental and financial health of small business retailers.

We have been hearing about something coming for two weeks. With each day that passes with no decision, the perspective and health of those so desperately waiting deteriorates and this is problematic for their businesses and those who rely own their businesses.

We can’t trust the Westfields of the world to fix this. They have no track record in this regard. This is something the federal government needs to address, and urgently.

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retail

An imminent store closure can tell you plenty about what sells

The final days sales leading to the sclosure of a store can tell you plenty about the products you have been offering. I know for personal experience.

Right now, in the US, this is on show at the Papyrus card and gift stores, which will all close on February 26. They have been running a massive sale for more than two weeks. What is left is what has not worked for them. I say this given that everything is discounted by between 50% and 75%.

On the card shelves there are captions that remain quite full. 10 cards for $5.00 is a good price as most of these cards regularly sell at $5.99 or thereabouts.

Still, plenty of greeting cards are unsold with less than 3 days remaining.

What has clearly been a failure at Papyrus is their wooden models. These are small battery operated merry-go-rounds and similar. Several stores I have seen have windows full of this stock. Given that Papyrus has stocked them for several years I am surprised their sales data did not forecast problems with the category.

Retail success comes down to giving customers you can reach what they want and operating with a cost base that permits profitability.

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Gifts

Taking a look at experiential retail

The experience in the physical retail store matters more today than ever before thanks to smarter and more engaging online experiences. By experience, I mean more than professional service with a smile, accurate transacting and a neat and stoppable store layout.

The experience that matters today is what your store offers that is so interesting and memorable that people will tell others.

With some newsXpress colleagues I visited several interesting stores in Atlanta and New York when in the US for the Atlanta Gift Fair buying for newsXpress. Here is a 30 minute video of some of the stores we visited that we found interesting. There were others, and more insights too. This video reflects highlights.

The video is another example of one for of the many insights newsXpress offers its members – not suggesting they copy these retailers but, rather, to be aware of how retail is evolving in a range of specialty niches.

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retail

Perspective on recent retail closure announcements in Australia and how newsagents could react

We’ve all seen the headlines, because news outlets tend to like the drama of retail closures and challenges. Terms like retail apocalypse and retail armageddon have appeared in stories in recent weeks on the back of a series of challenging news about retail.

News outlets are quick to run stories forecasting doom and gloom. Often, the stories skate close to the surface without much analysis as to the reasons for closures. This bothers me as understanding the details can be helpful for context, and for mental health for those in retail.

Here are some of the stories from this year with notes from me offering context:

Harris Scarfe is closing 21 stores. They have been in trouble before. It is a second tier department store with  modest critical mass. It found it hard to be competitive in a marketplace;axe that does not favour depatrment stores. I think their problems are due to department stores overall being in trouble and that they are a small group and therefore less able to weather changing times.

EB Games is closing 19 stores as a first step in an international review of physical store retail. I expect there will be more closures. There has been a fundamental shift in how games are sold. {physical stores are not as important as they used to be.

Bardot is closing 58 stores. This is a fashion brand that has not maintained relevance.

Curious Planet is planning on closing 63 stores. Ever since they list the Australian geographic branding the future has been in doubt.

Jeanswest is in administration and is reportedly likely to close 146 stores. Jeanswest sells discount jeans. The biggest group of jeans consumers are looking for more engaged brands than Jeanswest offers. Their differentiation was minimal. They as a business had not kept with the times.

Bose is closing 119 stores. They have figured out the commercial benefits of direct online engagement. Offering a 30 day no questions asked money back guarantee and costing shipping and other challenges, the company will make more money by closing 199 stores (leases, labour etc) and investing some of that into stronger online marketing.

The Bose move is what we should expect to see more of from international brands consumers trust. They will make more from direct relationships. We have plenty more to discuss in this topic is people are interested.

Rather than being drawn to the doom and gloom, which is a natural human response on reading reports like these, our time and energy is better spent on ensuring our retail businesses are relevant today.

How do we do that?

Yeah, it is the million dollar question … for which there is no one size fits all answer for every situation.

Here are some tips that I do know work:

Be the boss. It’s your business. You choose what you sell, who works there, how the business looks and how the business is marketed. Make those decisions like you are in charge.

Be relevant to today’s shopper. It’s likely the shopper is not like you. Too many stores stock what the owners and staff like. That is not a model for the future.

Be different. The more your shop looks like others the less it will stand out.

Provide solutions. It is much harder to convince someone to buy something they do not need, do not like, do not want or do not understand. It is much easier to get them to buy what they like, want, need or understand.

Embrace change. Know that what works today will be different tomorrow.

Treat data as cash. Small business retailers are notoriously bad at managing data. This leads to poor business decisions, which put businesses at risk. Treat data as a valuable asset and make better decisions as a result.

Sure there is tough news out there about retail. There is plenty of good news too.

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newsagency of the future

Massive Boxing Day

I expected Boxing Day revenue to be down this year on 2018 given the considerable growth in Black Friday / Cyber Monday sales this year over last. It was not to be, Boxing Day 2019 was terrific as was yesterday. This Aussie retail tradition is running strong.

Boxing Day sales are an excellent opportunity for a clear out ahead of a reset. They are also an opportunity some suppliers leverage well, to help retailers maintain much needed margin.

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retail

Solomon Lew attacks retail landlords

In a story in The Age by Dominic Powell, Solomon Lew and CEO of his Premier Investments, Mark McInnes, have attached landlords:

‘Killing jobs, killing retailers’: Premier chiefs Lew and McInnes unleash on landlords

Premier Investments chief executive Mark McInnes and billionaire rag trader Solomon Lew have intensified their attack on major landlords, accusing them of “killing” local businesses by offering cheaper rent to international retailers such as H&M and Uniqlo.

Mr McInnes pointed to the recent collapse of womenswear chain Bardot as evidence landlords offering cheap deals to international retailers had forced up rents and ruined the retail market.

“Landlords have incentivised international retailers into this space. They’ve diluted the market and killed companies, and Bardot is just one of those,” he said.

“By incentivising [retailers like] H&M and Uniqlo and offering them more capital and better deals … they’re bringing down Australian companies, they’re killing Australian jobs and they’re killing Australian retailers.”

Rental pressures have compounded the broader issues within the retail sector over the last 12 months, which has been afflicted by slowing sales and weak consumer confidence despite tax cuts and three interest rate cuts.

Trade figures for the month of September failed to show any response to the recent fiscal and monetary stimulus and Mr McInnes confirmed the company was yet to see any meaningful response.

I think the way to get the attention of landlords is for retailers to not sign a lease unless they are certain they can make money, unless they are completely happy. Empty space focusses the attention of any landlord.

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retail

The Walmart approach to change in retail

CNBC published a fascinating story yesterday about US retail giant Walmart.

Walmart CEO Doug McMillon: ‘We could go away at any minute’

Walmart is constantly evolving to avoid dying off, as plenty of other retailers have, according to the company’s chief executive officer.

“Walmart is not arrogant,” CEO Doug McMillon said at CNBC’s Evolve Summit in Los Angeles on Tuesday morning. “We could go away at any minute. I think most of us act that way every day. If you’re not willing to fail — and we are failing at some things — you’re going to go away.”

McMillon went on to say that, at Walmart, “everything is open to change.”

“Retailers come and go,” McMillon said. “It’s really simple: If you’re not meeting the wants and needs of the customer, you’re done. There’s not a lot of loyalty here.”

There is plenty here that relates to our channel.

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retail

UK’s Sainsbury’s to supply Coles

Euronews reports that the UK Sainsbury’s supermarket group is to supply the Aussie Coles supermarket group with product.

LONDON (Reuters) – British supermarket group Sainsbury’s <SBRY.L> has struck an agreement to sell packaged groceries and household products in Australia as it seeks to grow its wholesale business, it said on Monday.

Sainsbury’s said it has agreed a wholesale partnership with Australian grocer Coles <COL.AX>.

The UK firm’s biggest wholesale deal yet will see it supply own brand products to Coles supermarkets across Australia, as well as online, from early next year.

This is an interesting move in the home brand space and while not directly related to newsagency product categories, it reflects the changing nature of home brand. This deal is on the back of others in the home brand space recently that could impact our channel.

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retail

My thoughts on the Award underpayment stories in the news

With the news last week of Woolworths reportedly underpaying employees by hundreds of millions of dollars, I published a thread on Twitter that seeks to bring some challenges relating to this matter into focus. You’ll need to click on the link to see all the tweets in the thread.

Note: I have spoken with Fairwork folk about this several times, the most recent being 7pm Friday last week. That conversation was the clearest, the most unambiguous about classifications. The test is what they were hired for, what makes up most of their duties. If they fit with level 1, then that is their pay rate. However, nothing stops a challenge, where you will have to defend your position.

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Ethics

The American Mall Act

Andrew Yang is running for the nomination of the Democratic Party for the upcoming US presidential election. He is not a politician. He has a business and not for profit background. One of his policies is interesting as it flows from challenges being experienced in retail in the US. He calls the policy The American Mall Act. I am sharing this here as there may be some interested in this topic.

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retail

Woolworths to open a cashless store in Sydney

News is reporting that Woolworths is set to open a cashless store in Sydney.

If your usual idea of a Woolworths is a large store with multitudes of aisles, a deli, and a liquor store to the left as you leave, you may need to think again.

Woolworths is putting the finishing touches to a new concept store that is so tiny it has only a single aisle.

About 40 times more compact than a usual store, Australia’s smallest ever Woolworths has been shoe-horned into the site of a former coffee shop at the bottom of an office block.

The store will also be Woolies’ first ever completely cashless store – with no notes or coins accepted. But it’s slight nature means there is one big selling item that will be missing.

The company hadn’t made an official announcement, but news.com.au spied an under-construction store in inner city Sydney which sported the never seen before “Woolworths MetroGo” branding half hidden under plastic. Inside staff were scurrying to fill the shelves.

The next step will be no scanning of products by you or them, no counter. Walk in, take what you went, leave. This already exists in the US.

We have to keep up.

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retail

The start of Christmas in-store

Here is the first crack at Christmas in one of my stores. It runs from this front of store display behind for around three metres.  I say first crack because this will change weekly as new stock is added, early hits sell out and the narrative is evolved.

In-store is only part of our Christmas pitch this year. Already Christmas has been terrific with online sales, to people will never see in-store.

For those wondering, this shop does not sell lotteries, tobacco or candy. It is pop culture / card / gift / sarcasm focussed store with mags and papers still represented, but not front of store.

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newsagency of the future

UK supermarket’s register-free shop experiment brings back the register

The experiment by UK supermarket group Sainsbury’s of register-less retail has resulted in the return of the register the company has announced.

Back in April, we trialled the UK’s first till-free grocery store. The three-month experiment put our SmartShop Scan, Pay & Go technology to the test in a bespoke food-to-go store.

We know our customers’ lives are changing and so too are their shopping habits. We’re changing with them to make sure they can shop whenever, wherever and however they want. We know our customers value their time and many want to shop as quickly as possible. Developing and testing new technology is key to making sure we’re bringing our customers the very best shopping experience.

Our SmartShop app – where customers can scan and pay with their phone with no need to queue or pay at a till – was already live in eight convenience stores. An experiment, rather than a new format for us, we wanted to put the technology to the test in a till-free environment to understand how our customers respond to the experience.

The experiment created excitement amongst customers, with many keen to check out the store, download the app and test out this way of shopping. Lots of customers loved how quick and simple the SmartShop app is to use and many are choosing to shop this way regularly.

We’ve listened closely to feedback, learning and adapting the experience along the way. For example, some customers found the QR codes when leaving the store could have been easier to scan, so we designed new ones and adjusted how they were placed in store. While most customers are happy to use their mobile data to download our app and shop, many signing up to use the store Wi-Fi found the journey took a little long, so we changed it to a one-step process.

The only place I am seeing register-less retail working and growing currently is the Amazon Go model. I have seen five of their stores and each was busy with real customers.

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retail

Wages growth vital to retail growth

I agree wholeheartedly with this report by Greg Jericho in The Guardian. Below is a selection or pars from the report.

Tax cuts won’t pry open household wallets.

Last week the latest retail trades figures revealed that in the past 12 months the volume of retail spending, in seasonally adjusted terms, grew by less than at any time since the 1990 recession. The trend measure was less terrible – it suggested that the level of growth was only the worst it has been since the depths of the GFC.

In the past nine months the volume of retail trade has not grown at all. That’s recession-level spending.

That we are spending that weekly when the unemployment rate is 5.2% tells you a lot about how poor that measure has become for explaining the state of our economy.

And it is not the case that the bad news for households is contained to only some parts of the country. All states except Queensland have seen the volume of retail spending growth fall.

At this point the government is betting on the tax cuts fuelling an increase in spending. It should in the short-term, but without wages growth no household is going to think about increasing their spending long-term.

And the most troubling thing is the drop in inflation expectations and those for the cash rate have occurred not just since the government was re-elected but since the tax cuts have passed into law.

Few seem to think they will do enough, and instead we continue to look to the Reserve Bank to come to the rescue.

In my opinion, only wages growth can increase spending. People on a minimum wage, Newstart and other social programs, young families living pay to pay … these are the core fuel for retail, these are the people who will spend every extra cent they receive.

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Newsagency challenges

New report on theft in retail in Australia

The Age yesterday reported on a surge in theft.

A study of over 9000 Australian and New Zealand retailers has revealed the cost of theft in-store has now reached a “crisis point” for companies as shoplifters have become more brazen in recent years.

While the repor focusses on shoplifting, in my experience working eityh retailers, employee theft has a higher cost. This paragraph is telling…

The majority of respondents were large fashion, grocery and department retailers with 300 or more stores. For the 2018 financial year, those companies estimated crime-related losses of $3.37 billion, or 0.92 per cent of the region’s total retail revenue for the year.

The average cost of theft in small to medium business is 3% and more. This, considering the .92% noted above indicates the focus of the report is narrow. But then the report goes on to say employee theft was 22% of overall theft.

Maybe the disconnect is because the report pulled data from medium to large businesses whereas all data I have seen over the years has been from small businesses, single store businesses. In those, in my experience, employee theft costs around 70% of the total cost of theft.

Regardless of this latest report, theft is retail is a high cost for which retailers, customers and others in the supply chain pay.

read the report. It’s got useful information for any retailer.

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retail

Why are there so many empty shops in Australia?

Talk to any small business retailer and they will have stories about empty shops in their area that are having a negative impact on their business.

In shopping centres, suburban high streets and country town main roads, there are plenty of empty shops.

Some have been empty for years.

Empty shops make a shopping centre or area feel unpopular, making the task of attracting shoppers harder for remaining retailers.

Some councils have been innovative in addressing the vacant retail space challenge by opening them to local makers and artists. Most councils, however, have not.

Why are there so many empty shops? Talk to retailers and they will blame landlords for rents that are too high. Talk to economists and others expert in retail property space as a ratio of population and they will say that Australia has too much retail space. Talk to the folks in some specific towns and they will blame the main street empty spaces on the new mall that has opened just outside town. Talk to almost anyone and they will blame online. Talk to some landlords and they will say retailers are not innovative enough.

As with any contentious issue that has opposing vested interests, it is hard to get to the truth of the situation.

For what it is worth, my opinion is that the answer to the question lies in a mixture of the reasons offered above.

I do think we have too much retail space in Australia. Rent is among the highest in the world. Retail is not that innovative. People are shopping online for convenience. So, yes, I am hedging my bets.

That said, the why does not matter as much as what to do with them.

Occasionally, you can find a pragmatic landlord who is happy to have a space filled at a lower rent than sit empty for a year or more. I think we need more pragmatic landlords.

Occasionally, we see small business retailers burst out of what has been traditional for their type of business and create something genuinely innovative, which is embraced by local shoppers. We need more of this.

Occasionally, we see empty shops torn down and the space used for something difference. We need to see much more of this.

The challenge for small business retailers today with empty shops nearby is how to deal with the stench of those empty shops.

If your landlord has those shops too and there is one next to you, ask them if you can use the space for display. To me, that would be a win win for you both.

If the shops are not from your landlord, the most obvious response will be to be louder and bigger from your premises. By louder, I mean more events to attract shoppers, give people more reason to come to you.

The best way to deal with online is to be online yourself, with a compelling offer, probably under a brand that is not your shop brand, seeking out shoppers far from your shop location.

The alternative to action is to complain because, yeah, complaining achieves a lot … not.

Empty shops are a problem in Australia. How we deal with that in our own retail businesses comes down to us and the actions we take.

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Newsagency challenges

If you compete with the Reject Shop…

The Reject Shop appears to be in challenging times, according to a report in The Age.

The Reject Shop will part ways with its chief executive and has revealed it is heading for a full-year loss, as sales evaporate and it cuts prices amid fierce competition from supermarkets and department stores.

The discount retail chain on Thursday said it now expected to run at a loss of $1 million to $2 million this year – a downgrade from earlier guidance for a profit of $3 million to $4 million.

The ASX announcement from the business has more details:

In addition, Gross Margins have fallen as the expected benefits from Sales and Merchandise related initiatives have not landed with consumers during the half. This margin pressure has been exacerbated by the competitive pricing pressure placed on a number of key Sales Departments from both the major Supermarkets (FMCG) and the Department Stores (General Discretionary Merchandise), forcing price roll-backs across a number of key lines as the business looks to maintain its price gap in the market.

Non-product related costs including Store Wages, Occupancy Costs and Head Office Costs have been well controlled during the half, with material cash reductions on rent renewals still being delivered.

This will be good news to newsagents competing with the discount retailer. I have been tracking them this year because of their creeping into more areas in the gift, card and related categories. I thought they were doing well in the context of their type of retail.

For what it’s worth and thinking about today’s news, I think the Reject Shop is encountering challenges because of renewed focus from K-Mart, supermarkets and because the Reject Shop approach to retail is not what shoppers look for today.

The days of retail shelves being full as a sales approach are over for now. Shoppers want engagement, experiences. Give them this and sales will increase.

I visit a couple of Reject Shops regularly to watch their changes and offering experiences is not something I see.

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Competition

Diversity in retail

Here is an article I have recently completed about diversity in retail, as a management approach to help you attract more customers to your business. I have been thinking about diversity because of an inspirational presentation I heard by Aubrey Bergauer, Executive Director of the California Symphony, in which she outlined how a commitment to diversity has helped the Symphony become more successful.

Diversity in retail.

This is not about what you may think it is about.

For years, retailers, especially small business retailers have been told do one thing right, be known for something.

They have been told that a unique selling proposition(USP) is about that one thing and getting it so right that you are known for it.

This singular focus began in an era when people often discovering a business did so by being in front of the business.

While pursuing a USP has worked for many, the world today has changed. Technology has changed us, it has changed how people find retail businesses.

Whereas in the past, there was often one major path delivering traffic to a business, today, thanks to technology, there are usually many paths, often not as obvious to us as the path of years ago.

Technology has also changed what businesses can and do offer.

Most important, technology has changed the ease of reaching customers.

Being local is not as important as it used to be.

While local small business retailers wish being local is all that matters, it is not. Often, the local community is not sufficient to serve the growth needs of a business, often because locals themselves are shopping elsewhere because doing so is easier.

Retailers need to reach more people. This means reaching beyond what has been traditional. For local retailers it means reaching beyond local. It can mean reaching beyond what you are known for.

Thanks to cool personalisation technology and targeted marketing, businesses interstate or overseas can provide a special interest product in a way that locals can love. Big businesses, especially, can leverage technology to reach local shoppers in personal and local ways.

Being local is notas important as it used to be for plenty of specialty retail businesses.

A commitment to diversity could help local retailers in this changed world.

I am not talking here about diversity in the manner in which the term is often used.

To me, diversity in small business retail is about a business, your business, being diversein the customers it pursues and diversein the ways it seeks to connect with potential new customers.

Customer diversityis about being relevant, appealing and of value to different groups of customers to those you pursue today. No, not everyone, because that does not work.

Diversity in customers is about targeting very specific, new, groups that you are certain you can satisfy.

Why do people shop with you?

Think about what brings people through your front door right now. Typically, a majority of shoppers will come through for one reason, one product or service category.

Is there another product or service category not too distant from what you focus on today that you could introduce to broaden the appeal of the business, to help you reach people who are not interested in your prime product category or service today?

This is one example of diversity … making your business appealing to a group of people who do not find your current offer appealing.

It is not about becoming a general store. Rather, it is about making thoughtful moves, based on research, to broaden the pool of people who couldwant to shop with you.

This is about you reaching more customers.

Diversity in ways of connecting with potential new customersis about how you communicate, how you connect.

Multiple touchpoints matter in this connected world.

While we all get sick of emails, text messages, social media ads and the like, they are sent for a reason, by big businesses with strong tech infrastructure to take care of this follow up.

Think about the new shopper journey in your shop today. Think about how they found you. In small business retail, word of mouth remains important as does store location. But what about other new shoppers, how can they be found?

Diversity in how, where and when you promote your business matters as does diversity in your voice.

How you reach out to an older shopper should be different to how you reach out to a young mum.

How you reach out to someone new to your core product category should be different to how you reach out to someone deeply engaged with your core category.

A more diverse pool of shoppers requires a more diverse approach to find them.

Here’s what I mean: use diverse avenues of marketing and through these use diverse marketing pitches, targeted for a more diverse pool of customers.

Marketing avenues can include social media paid and free, Google Ads, with each being thoughtfully created to pursue a specific type of shopper, one that fits a diversity goal.

Just as you expand what you offer to appeal to new consumers, you expand how you appeal to reach new customers.

Local businesses often promote local. It made sense for years. Today, specialty retailers can easily sell outside the local area, making a commitment to diversity also being about reaching beyond local as that in itself is about pursuing diversity.

It’s about more than what you are known for today.

Here is what it comes down to. What you are known for today is not enoughsince that will limit your appeal to customers interested in that. Smart and tech engaged businesses are chipping away at your core, what you are known for.

Thoughtfully, carefully, broaden the appeal of your business through what you sell and how you pitch. Pursuing a more diverse pool of customers will buttress your business, help it weather change.

This is why diversity matters. It is why you have to make your business appealing to more people and why you have to be more diverse in how you try and find them.

Now, an action plan.

Write down your target customer today. Describe them in a concise way.

Now, think about another customer you could target, a different customer you would like to reach but do not reach today. Think about what you need to do in terms of inventory, shop layout, online engagement and other changes to reach this new customer.

Write down how you promote your business today. Now, think about other ways you could promote your business and other voices, styles, tones you could use to appeal to people you do not appeal to today.

New products, new services, pitched through new voices in new mediums, this is how to attract a more diverse customer pool to your business.

Diversity in retail is simple really. It is about expanding your reach through thoughtful planned actions to reach a more diverse group of customers.

The alternative is to keep doing what you have been doing. That will maintain your current business trajectory.

I am the owner of Tower Systems, newsXpress and several niche retail businesses.

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Newsagency management

The City of San Francisco bans cashless stores

San Francisco last week moved to ban cashless stores. This is a big news story receiving plenty of coverage, like this from CBS:

San Francisco is about to require brick-and-mortar stores to take cash as payment, joining Philadelphia and New Jersey in banning an increasingly popular store policy of snubbing cash. Critics say refusing cash payments harms low-income people and the homeless, who are less likely to have access to credit cards.

And this TV news report:

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retail