The Tabcorp 2018/19 Annual Report will be sobering reading for any lottery retailer for in that year, revenue from online lottery ticket purchases rose 39.8% from the previous year. For reference, online revenue grew 22.6% in the FY17/18 year over the FY16/17 year.
While the company refers to this shift in revenue source as part of its omnichannel, I see it as a migration from in-store purchase to online.
They have sought to support retailers with a modest increase in income, which has complex strings that keep retailers positioned more as servants than partners.
The size of the increase in Tabcorp’s own direct sales does not directly correlate with a decline in sales in-store. However, it is happening from what I can see at some stores. As a lottery customer, the benefits of online and in-app purchases far outweigh the in-store.
For its future, Tabcorp needs to continue to push growth in online purchases as they are, I suspect, more valuable to the company than in-store purchases. With retailers playing such an important part in brand awareness and facilitating access to online, the company needs to keep them in check.
I don’t have lotteries in the newsagency businesses I have today. I did have years ago, but not today.
At some point, decisions will be made by retailers along the lines of decisions some of made many years ago about our home delivery runs. There will be a point when the requirements, price retail space cost and all the hoop jumping is not financially worth it.
What can help retailers today with a decision they may wish to make in the future is success at attracting new shoppers for purposes other than to buy a lottery ticket.
Tabcorp’s latest results are to me a strong call to retailers to relentlessly pursue non lottery new traffic opportunities cities through their businesses. Lottery retailers who do not do this will see their business results perform in line with the results achieved by Tabcorp. If the company continues to successfully grow online purchases and if that is achieved at a cost to in-store purchases then lottery focussed retailers will lose revenue and business value.
To be clear – I am not criticising Tabcorp. If I was a shareholder, which I am not, I would applaud their strategy. My criticism, if there is one, would be at retailers who are not acting already to make their businesses more relevant outside of lotteries. This is mission critical in my view.
Note: the image is from the Tabcorp published investor presentation.