A blog on issues affecting Australia's newsagents, media and small business generally. More ...

Author: Mark Fletcher

Simpson pin anger hurts newsagents more than the brand

The Simpsons Pin promotion by the Herald Sun in Melbourne was a huge success. The result was hundreds of back orders b y newsagents. Imagine the frustration this week when newsagents found out that they will now have to wait until after the Commonwealth Games to supply customers. We were told the backorders would be filled a month ago and then two weeks ago and now it is at least another three weeks off. We have customers visiting every couple of days – looking for us to make good on the promise of News Ltd. Mistakes like this one by News Ltd cost newsagents goodwill with their customers. We have no choice but to point to News as the problem. The promotion backfires. At least really desperate customers can buy their pins on eBay still.

Publishers need to understand that promotions like this can hurt unless the execution is perfect – or at least shortfaslls are fixed quickly.

UPDATE (20/03): The Herald and Weekly Times people have come through and 700 customers in my shop are very happy to get a call from us. yea!

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Newsagency challenges

Newspapers told: adapt or die by Rupert Murdoch

“Societies or companies that expect a glorious past to shield them from the forces of change driven by advancing technology will fail and fall.

That applies as much to my own, the media industry, as to every other business on the planet. Power is moving away from the old elite in our industry — the editors, the chief executives and, let’s face it, the proprietors.

A new generation of media consumers has risen demanding content delivered when they want it, how they want it, and very much as they want it.”

Rupert Murdoch delivered the 2006 Livery Lecture two days ago at the Worshipful Company of Stationers And Newspaper Makers, a City of London livery company. The full speech is here at Times Online. This speech will be as quoted as his speech on April 13 last year to the American Society of Newspaper Editors. It is a well crafted call to arms to all content creators and publishers and visionary in its outlook.

Rupert Murdoch gets it! He gets that people want content yesterday, no matter where they are. he gets it that people want the content they are interested in and not necessarily everything a publisher produces. He gets it that consumers are in control.

News Corp and the local incarnation, News Limited, gets it. While newspaper sales are strong in Australia, compared to overseas, News is evolving, ached of the wave of disruption. They are setting the agenda in many areas.

Newsagents, the distribution and retail channel established by the publishers in the 1800s need to get “it”, they (we) need to adapt or die.

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Media disruption

Changes in UK magazine distribution

The Office of Fair Trading in the UK has announced that it will look again at how magazines are distributed in the UK – almost a year after pronouncing the existing regime unlawful. The BBC has a good summary of the implications here including:

Many industry groups fear that if magazine distribution is opened to free competition then big magazine retailers, such as supermarkets, will take the opportunity to sign cheaper, exclusive, distribution deals with wholesalers.

The Periodical Publishers Association (PPA) says that would leave independent news retailers to pay more for their smaller deliveries to more out-of-the-way places.

Government has an obligation to small business local communities and organisations like the OFT need to listen carefully to these constituents as they do not have the same lobbying funds as supermarkets and other big business players.

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Newsagency challenges

65% of magazines cash-flow negative for newsagents

I’ve just completed a study into the cash-flow impact of magazines in Australian newsagencies. Once you account for the cost of stock, labour and real-estate and balance this with credits for unsold stock and revenue from sales, I’ve found that, on average, 65% of all magazine titles carried by newsagents are cash-flow negative. None of the cash-flow negative titles is in the top 100 and none is carried by petrol, convenience or supermarket outlets.

The magazine supply model was created back when newsagents had an authorised monopoly. It needs to be modified to reflect today’s circumstances. If this is not done newsagents will continue to bleed cash in the magazine department to the gain of their competitors. Cash-flow negative titles take money and resources which could otherwise be spent in newsagencies to promote the successful titles. This is the advantage supermarkets and others have over newsagents.

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Newsagency challenges

Newsagents need to get serious about newspaper home delivery

The current newspaper distribution model in Australia was created and remains ‘owned’ by newspaper publishers. Publishers control the cover price of newspapers as well as the fees which can be charged for home delivery, who can own a distribution territory, whether territories can be amalgamated and (most) efficiencies newsagents can implement to cut costs out of the operation.

Until newsagents create a distribution system they own they will remain the working poor.

There is anecdotal evidence to suggest that around 80% of newsagents lose money from their home delivery operations. Few newsagents make even a basic wage for their effort, believing that the distribution side of their business is crucial to retail sales – a point I disagree with.

Publishers must be brought to the negotiating table by newsagents. They must allow newsagents to amalgamate territories. They must allow variable delivery fees based on real costs. They must free newsagents to be entrepreneurial in cutting costs and leveraging the delivery service. They must provide commercial incentives for newsagents to pursue home delivery growth – this means that newsagents must be given control over marketing in their territory.

The current home delivery system can see neighbours receive the same newspaper on very different pricing models. There is one suburban street where each of the five home delivery customers is on a different pricing model, meaning that the newsagent gross profit from home delivery services ranges from 12% to 25%. That newsagents have no control over pricing and marketing means they have little control over the profitability of their businesses.

If newsagents do not create a newspaper distribution system they own and present this to the publishers in the next two months they run the risk of being presented with a new model developed by publishers to serve publisher needs.

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Newsagency challenges

The “seismic shift in the newspaper business”

The Wolrd Association of Newspapers website has a good wrap of news from their Advertising conference in Paris last month. Here are a two highlights:

Jim Chisholm, Strategy Advisor, World Association of Newspapers
The migration of classified advertising from print to the internet is accelerating, according to preliminary results of the third annual World Association of Newspapers survey on the migration trend.

“We are seeing fantastic growth in online classifieds, but it is not enough to make up for the money lost from print classifieds,” says Mr Chisholm, who advised newspapers to put more into their online strategies, and to do it quickly.

Vin Crosbie, Senior Associate, Borrell Associates,USA
The United States is “the epicenter of a seismic shift in the newspaper business from print to online,” says Mr Crosbie.

And the lesson from the USA is this: “speed is of the essence in this shift. Newspapers must serve online advertisers as soon as possible, or forever lose the classified advertising business, plus other forms of online advertising, to ’pure play’ internet competitors,” says Mr Crosbie.

And for some spin?

Gavin O’Reilly, President, World Association of Newspapers, Chief Operating Officer, Independent News & Media, Ireland
Newspapers are competing far more effectively against the rise of digital media than broadcast. “My sense is that traditional newspaper companies first ignored the Internet, then over reacted to it, and then concentrated on the supposed threats it posed (without ever truly embracing it). That is history. That has changed. It is the opportunities – which are numerous – which all newspaper publishers are singularly focused on these days.”

In the last 24 months, more new, innovative newspaper products have been launched than over the prior 30 years.

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Media disruption

Newspapers, online advertising and newsagents

While newspaper publishers increase their focus online, as seen in acquisitions and at industry conferences, most Australian newsagents remain oblivious to this. Relatively strong newspaper, lottery and magazine sales shield newsagents from a global trend which will impact their businesses. Newsagents continue to focus on macro issues and ignore the global challenge of online.

Ideally, I’d like to see newspaper and magazine publishers brief newsagents about their online strategy. I am not talking about revealing secret plans, but more of a briefing on trends – so that newsagents are encouraged to evolve their businesses. Such a briefing from a publisher is more likely to gain newsagent attention. However, I doubt any publisher would want to provide such a briefing as they would fear an outcome of newsagents diluting attention to their product.

In my own shops we remain aggressive in pursuing newspaper and magazine sales. We are also developing additional revenue generators so that we will be less affected by a drop in one or more product categories. We are also embracing trends as they affect us. For example, with computer magazine sales collapsing, we are halving the space we provide for this category of magazines.

The challenge of online is the only issue newsagents should be discussing at their conferences this year and it would be helpful is publishers would drop their guard enough to encourage a look at the horizon by newsagents.

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Newsagency challenges

News Corp. enters online classifieds from MySpace

According to a report by Peter Zollman of Classified Intelligence Report (a paid newspaper industry newsletter), MySpace is moving aggressively into classified advertising. They have already introduced a Classifieds link on the main navigation bar, and classifieds categories for several cities including Melbourne and Sydney. This move by News Corp, owners of MySpace, considerably extends the social networking site into a classified advertising engine. While classifieds are free, there is a revenue stream being chased here. It’s a clever move by News.

Connect MySpace with TrueLocal, Realestate.com.au and the various other News online offerings here in Australia and overseas and you have a powerful business model.

This is a race. In Australia it is between News, Fairfax, PBL and Telstra. While many expected the Internet to lower the barriers to entry for many start-ups, acquisitions and strategic moves by the big four media companies have protected their offline brand investments in the online world.

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Media disruption

OFT acts on supermarkets in the UK

The Office of Fair Trading in the UK has announced that it is to refer to market for the supply of groceries, including newsagent lines, to the UK Competition Commission. Any independent analysis of the power of major chains has to be welcomed by small business. (I just wish we could achieve similar traction here with the ACCC and the Productivity Commission.) The OFT announcement, in part, observed:

There is also some evidence to suggest that the big supermarkets’ buyer power has increased, and that there are aspects of the big supermarkets’ pricing behaviour – below-cost selling and price flexing – which could distort competition. Although consumers have benefited from lower prices, the data does not allow the OFT to reach a firm conclusion on whether choice and variety for consumers in local markets – whether choice of fascia or on-shelf product variety – have increased. Because pricing practices and buyer power interact with local concentration to affect product variety and choice of fascia, the OFT proposes also to refer to these features in making the reference.

The OFT could have been writing about Australia.

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Newsagency challenges

Why some people stopped buying newspapers

Newspaper publishers are full of theories as to why sales are flat (in the case of some) or falling (others). Most theories, among those who accept that there is a fall, would blame disruption brought about by broadband, easier mobile access and online classifieds. Few would consider that sales are down because of the quality of the product. Newspaper publishers ought to visit newsagencies and talk with customers like ‘Joan’ a fifty something lady I talked with today. She has just stopped buying The Age after decades of loyalty. “It’s not a newspaper any more” she said to me. “All these competitions and giveaways, I have no interest”, she was on a roll. “I want news”, she said, as a demand “and when they start giving me news, real news, maybe I’ll come back.”

‘Joan’ now gets her news online but online services did not lure her from The Age. That came about because of the handling of several stories in The Age compared to what she was able to read online. In her view, The Age was not balanced in one story and its reports lacked reasonable depth in another and in the case of a third it’s story pandered to government rather than reporting facts which were negative.

While ‘Joan’ is one person, others would agree. She has not been pulled away from her favorite newspaper but, rather, pushed away. And she was sad about that. I reckon there are plenty of Joans who would be back in an instant if newspapers focused on content – hard hitting news which pursues the truth; analysis which is respected; and, less filler.

One only has to watch how much of a Saturday newspaper is thrown in the bin outside the shop to see first hand why people buy newspapers.

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Newspapers

Newsagent point of difference (range) is killing the channel

Based on my research into the cash-flow performance of magazines in newsagencies, the top five categories in order are: Women’s Weeklies, Partworks, Women’s Interests, Crosswords & Puzzles, and Teenager. While sales are stronger in other categories, longer shelf life and a lower sell through rate lead to a significant (detrimental) cash-flow impact.

The Special Interest, Sport & Leisure, Children’s, Motoring and Adult categories are all cash-flow negative. Special Interest is the worst performer and within that, the Travel & Tourism and Other segments are in trouble. Other is a catch-all segment that includes such seriously cash-flow negative titles as: New Dawn, Irish Echo, and Adbusters. These titles are not alone in causing the cash-flow problem: 90% of titles in the Other segment of Special Interest are cash-flow negative.

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magazines

FHM promotes content on PSP and mobiles

FHM has launched video content in the UK for Sony PSP devices and mobile phone content in the US. (Source: MocoNews.)

It’s not a surprise that brands such as FHM and Playboy are connecting with consumers this way. This is just the beginning. Freeing content from the page makes the stories the product and this offers a revenue model considerably beyond the traditional magazine model. This makes celebrities more valuable than ever. We have a customer who visits our shop weekly to use an internet computer to download and print (in colour) every story about the star she obsesses about. Her weekly spend is usually in excess of $50.00. If she had a place she could go and pay this amount for every story about her star I’m sure she would.

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magazines

Zoo Weekly sales update

Zoo Weekly sales information for several newsagencies suggests that while it has some fans it is not setting the world on fire. The best way to compare a new title like this is to compare sales to other titles in the segment: People and Picture are the closest comparisons. Sales for Zoo are running at between 20% and 30% of Picture. The data sample set is too small to consider this indicative of anything. In my view Zoo needs to identify a specific niche. In its present form I reckon it’s soft in terms of content of interest to prospective readers. This approach may be fine for the supermarkets. In newsagencies the title in in a segment where it is the soft (weak) product.

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magazines

Patent activity around search and advertising

In the past, advertising was about noise to get noticed because the advertiser and the owner of the medium never knew what those within range were interested in. The search engines changed all that and they continue to change that. Follow this link to a list compiled by ResourceShelf of advertising and search related patent activity for Tuesday March 7. Beyond this one day the list is huge. Knowing what people want or are interested in is the big thing in online advertising. Those who do it right should achieve higher sales for a lower spend. This is why we’re seeing some companies shift considerable chunks of their advertising spend online and away from mainstream media.

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Media disruption

Star gets serious

Weekly women’s magazine Star has had a make-over and is looking like a contender. This week’s edition is a dramatic improvement on the mediocre product we’ve seen until now. The next step has to the a considerable marketing campaign to win new readers and try and woo back people who have the title a go and didn’t like what they saw. Publishers of Star cold use their on-sale day (Wednesday) to their advantage in newsagencies given that by then sales of other women’s weeklies are soft having peaked Monday, Tuesday.

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magazines

How should newsagents react to the online challenge?

While every major newspaper and magazine supplier to Australian newsagents has, over the last year, invested significant sums in online businesses, newsagents have not made any similar investment. While some have developed websites to enhance customer service, none has sought new revenue streams online. In my own case we have started Inkfast to sell ink and toner online. But we’re not a typical newsagency since we have the resources on my IT company behind us. (Inkfast is now 7 months old and selling more ink and toner in a week than my retail store sells in all stationery in a month.)

Publishers are buying online business to extend the reach of their brands. I’m convinced newsagents must do the same. More interest in traditional newspaper and magazine content and lottery product will be satisfied online and this poses a considerable threat to the traffic which has been central to the performance of newsagencies over the years.

While some newsagents are successfully diversifying at the store level, the channel itself is not and I see this as a significant branding problem for all who trade under the shingle of newsagent.

I’m involved in an online start-up (more on that another time) which will actively partner with newsagents but even that will not go far enough in gaining for them a sufficiently viable connect with consumers who live online such that it replaces revenue they will lose elsewhere.

Companies like Fairfax, News Corp, PBL and Pacific are doing what they must do and I have no qualms with their online push. It is that too many newsagents remain oblivious to this which concerns me. Their associations need to educate and advise yet they remain silent.

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Media disruption

Second digital magazine conference in four months

Just four months after their first sell-out digital magazine conference, the Magazine Publishers of America are hosting a second event: Magazines 24/7: Profiting in the Digital Age. The scheduling of this event so soon after the first demonstrates the importance of a digital strategy for magazine publishers. If I were a publisher I would have been riding the digital wave for some time now since it’s where the growth is – especially in the special interest area.

Here in Australia only a handful of titles are playing actively in the digital space. I expect many more to enter this year. Digital magazines pose a threat to newsagents beyond the loss of sales. In the period of transition, while consumers migrate from over the counter to online, newsagent display of the title helps the publisher. Newsagents cannot cut the titles because of contractual obligations so they have to carry them even if loss making while publishers build new revenue models online.

The fair approach would be to recognise that at the non mainstream end of the marketplace especially titles will migrate online. This should lead to newsagents being paid for providing access to low cost real-estate to maintain presence. The only other option for a newsagent for these bottom end titles is to return them immediately and short pay the distributor account. But that only ends in tears.

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Media disruption

Can I touch you for luck?

It’s when the elderly female customer asked this question that I realised we need to touch more in our retail businesses. Not in an offensive way. The odd touch here or there at the right time provides a connect no internet business can get close to. Two people, connecting on a common interest, touching skin provides a warmth critical to our success. I understand that the social networking facilities online will change the way we interact with each other, until that is ubiquitous retailers like me ought to exploit the opportunity to touch our customers. Yes, you can touch me for luck.

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Newsagency challenges

Vogue magazine website success

MediaWeek this week reports the exceptional success being achieved by the Vogue magazine website. Half the traffic is generated by their forums – the social interaction side of the site. Social networking is a key driver of traffic for MySpace and others. That the publishers of Vogue have achieved extraordinary traffic is a relatively short time will be of interest to other publishers – especially those with readers who are likely to enjoy the social interaction. There will be a tipping point between revenue from the website versus the physical magazine.

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Media disruption

Newspaper sales on fire

Since we installed the newspaper display unit at our Tattersalls counter our sales have increased 8% on top of the year on year increase we had been achieving until that point. In a flat newspaper market such a result is excellent.

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Newspapers

Newspaper publisher Fairfax acquires Trade Me, New Zealand’s most popular website

Newspaper publisher Fairfax has made a bold move in purchasing New Zealand most visited website, Trade Me. This is a coup for Fairfax and helps put to rest the jokes about their missing out of a piece of Seek back when it was available years ago.

Trade Me is a very successful business and kudos to Fairfax for negotiating the deal. While the announcement says it will operate as a stand along business, I would expect to see integration with the broader Fairfax offering.

The Fairfax announcement provides no indication as to whether Trade Me will open in Australia nor whether the investment has any relevance to Australian newsagents. The latter is important to me because Fairfax demands a lot from its newsagent channel in support of challenged product (newspapers). Newsagents could reasonably ask if they fit with such an acquisition. The reality is probably not and that’s okay – newsagents need pursue their own future in response to the disruption to their core products of newspapers and magazines.

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Newsagency challenges

Shame on Qantas, Australia Post and the Australian Government

Government owned Australia Post and Qantas owned Jetstar are proving the value of being mates now that they are closer to selling Jetstar tickets at Post Office outlets. More here at my small business blog. More here too at news.com.au. Small business travel agents are being done over by Australia Post the same as newsagents. That’s the value of government ownership for you.

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Newsagency challenges

Famous window display

We’re using flash lights to draw attention to Famous in the window of one of our shops. This 5MB movie file shows the impact. The challenge with Famous is its covers. Anecdotal consumer feedback suggests the covers are soft.

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