Newspaper circulation figures vs. paid copy sales data
When newspaper distribution was deregulated in 1999, newspaper publishers negotiated contracts with newsagents to distribute newspapers. Contracts covered home delivery, retail and distribution through sub retailers (sub agents) and they continue today at the behest of publishers. This means that newsagents are the only conduit through which paid circulation passes. Newsagents provide sales data to publishers at least weekly, giving publishers accurate data for sales reporting across their three key paid copy distribution channels of: home, retail and sub retail. I would have thought that advertisers would be more interested in paid for circulation data rather than the current ‘circulation’ data available.
I make these comments in the light of recent circulation figures claimed by publishers. I am curious as to where the sales increases have been achieved.
Who needs a scrapbook magazine?
Check out scrapblog and see how easily this will satisfy the needs of some who currently buy scrapbooking magazines. Scrapbooking magazines sell as inspiration for avid ‘bookers’. This site works the same and it’s free. (I found out about it from Steve Rubel at MicroPersuasion).
Who needs a Sudoku magazine now?
Check out Sudoku Craving. Sudoku magazine sales are in the top 5 of crossword magazine sales. It was only a matter of time before the online offerings got this good.
One for the independents
Sue Dunlevy, writing in the Daily Telegraph (Apr. 21) complains about the amount of time one has to spend in the queue at supermarkets to get service compared to the “corner shop”. Dunlevy poses a valid question:
CAN someone please explain to me why we can play movies in our cars, send emails from McDonald’s and take photos with our phones, but we can’t get rid of the supermarket queue?
At newsagencies, service is faster. Sure there might be a queue, but I bet it moves much faster than at a supermarket. As Dunlevy points out in her article, you’re more likely to see the owner manning a register in the busy time at a corner shop (and a newsagency). At Coles and Safeway in the busy time you’ll find managers a long way from the check out counter. Newsagents are often at their counter.
Supermarkets are built around check out queues. Look at their configuration. It’s about regimentation, control. Newsagents offer a more flexible and customer friendly shopping experience. It’s this regimentation which bigger companies like. Look at Vodafone, they have Coles on 16% commission and newsagents on 5% commission yet newsagents provide better service. Apple did a deal offering music download recharge for iTunes exclusively through Coles while newsagents could have provided better service.
Dunlevy goes to the edge with her criticism:
It’s worse than a pap smear and more stressful than a visit to the dentist – but you have to endure it at least once a week to feed your family.
The alternative is to find a local shopping centre with good newsagent, greengrocer, butcher and small supermarket. You’ll get local (faster) service, access to greater range and less stress from the slow moving queues at Coles and Safeway.
Over the last ten years newsagents have innovated and brought new products and services to their counters, they have embraced technology to improve the accuracy and speed of transactions. They have enhanced customer flexibility. If they can do this at the small business end and still usher customers through quickly them why not supermarkets?
Dunlevy’s article is encouraging reading from a small business perspective. Good on the Daily Telegraph for giving space to this issue.
And while we’re on queues I can’t let the topic pass without observing that Australia Post is as bad as ever. The line snakes through the government owned outlets with either side of the line appropriately littered with impulse purchase items (which have nothing to do with postage).
Dunlevy ends her piece suggesting it would be good if consumers took action and abandoned their full trolleys. While that may be impractical, a good start wold be to buy newspapers, magazines, greeting cards at newsagents. The price is the same, the range far better and the service faster and more enjoyable. A dollar spent on a newspaper, magazine or card at a newsagency is, I suggest, more efficient for the economy than a dollar spent at Coles or Safeway.
The Economist on media disruption
Andreas Kluth has written an excellent article, Among the audience, which is published in the current issue of The Economist. Kluth writes about the disruption being felt by mainstream media and in particular, the impact of high-speed broadband. He writes that its advent represents a true revolution in the way we communicate. He says that whereas in the past media was a push down affair from editors and proprietors, in this new wired world it is about participants. “This has profound implications for traditional business models in the media industry, which are based on aggregating large passive audiences and holding them captive during advertising interruptions,” Kluth writes. The more articles like this from Kluth are published the bigger the snowball of change rolling down the hill. The article is well worth reading.
While most media companies are of a scale and diversity to cope with and, indeed, embrace the coming change, at the in the supply chain newsagents and newspaper delivery people are yet to adequately accept that change will happen and what it means for their businesses.
Gloria Jeans to sell Daily Telegraph at 50% off?
It’s been suggested to me that News Limited and Gloria Jeans have reached agreement to sell the Daily Telegraph (and probably other News papers in other cities) in Gloria Jeans coffee outlets at 50 cents. If it happens it would follow the Fairfax Starbucks deal. It would be nuts as it confuses consumers and discounts the value of the masthead. In my own situation, my second shop and two other outlets sell The Age at full price while Starbucks a few feet away sells it for 50 cents. Sales in the centre have not risen since the move.
New Matilda article changes tune on newsagent deregulation
When first published Wednesday, Nicholas Gruen In Re-imagining economic reform, published at the New Matilda, wrote that (among other things) that most economists agree that newsagents “still need some old fashioned deregulation “. I emailed Gruen asking him to elaborate on this. He responded with: “Perhaps it would be worthwhile investing some of your own time explaining what claim you are referring to, what your own perspective is (if any and so on). Do you have any idea what I have in mind regarding the suggestion?” I quoted his words back at him and included: “I’d be interested in knowing what old fashioned deregulation newsagents need. Since it’s a published article I consider it reasonable for you to justify the opinion. My perspective does not matter. However, I own a newsagency.” I note that yesterday, the article was changed and the reference to newsagents removed.
There is a misconception in many circles that newsagents are protected. They are not. We were deregulated in 1999. Supermarkets, convenience stores, petrol outlets, coffee shops all get magazines directly from the suppliers. They choose the titles they carry. Most carry the top 100 or so titles. Newsagents don’t have the luxury of controlling what they receive. We know from the recent cash flow study that 65% of magazine titles in newsagencies are cash flow negative. This would not be the case if newsagents could control the titles they received and the quantity. The government deregulation push which was overseen by the ACCC has left the small business channel severely disadvantaged.
Footnote: late last night Nicholas Gruen emailed me saying, in part: “The list was from an article I wrote a few years ago, and I thought it was current. On reviewing the situation, I find to my dismay that there has indeed been considerable deregulation since I last looked! Please accept my sincere apologies for my oversight. I know it can be irritating to read things in the press that are inaccurate and do my best to be accurate and failing that to correct inaccuracies when I become aware of them.”
Auto Supermarket magazine closes
ACP has announced that the current issue of Auto Supermarket magazine is the last to be published. It’s not surprising given the inroads being made by online offerings where new content is available sooner, navigation is easier and the publisher costs lower. ACP will maintain its connect with buyers and sellers through the various websites it’s parent owns, newsagents currently have no such connect with online classifieds.
Newsagents lose money on Betcard
Betcard was touted to newsagents as the next big thing. It was going to revolutionise gambling. In NSW especially the state newsagent Association, NANA, got right behind the opportunity. It seemed a sure thing since newsagents were told that Saatchi and Saatchi (as reported in B&T) and Channel Sports were behind the betting play. Newsagents were asked to prepay for Betcard stock. More than two years on, newsagents are chasing a refund for the cards they purchased. There’s not a word from Betcard nor the companies touted as being behind Betcard nor from the NANA Directors who so strongly supported Betcard to newsagents.
Newsagent has magazine supply contract canceled and wins award
Pendle Hill Newsagency has had their magazine supply contract canceled by Network Services Company because the owner did not complete a one week training course as required by the contract. While I am not about to get into the rights and wrongs of the Network decision, it is worth noting that the newsagent last night won an award at the Holroyd District Business Awards. They were nominated by their customers. So, the people who matter most to any business reckon that these folks are doing a good job. Whether they attend a mediocre industry training course ofr five days is irrelevant since there are other ways to measure if they are good business operators. Rather than unilaterally canceling the contract, decision makers might have benefited from visiting the shop first.
Are lotteries moving out of newsagencies?
There is noise among newsagents that lotteries are moving away from them to clubs and big business. Getting a straight answer from Tattersalls, Golden Casket, NSW Lotteries, Lotteries SA and LotteryWest seems to be a challenge. If newsagents lost lottery traffic it would severely impact as they rely on habit driven lottery traffic to pull sales of newspapers and magazines – fixed price low margin products as are lottery products. Governments, State and Federal, ought to be interested in this. Newsagents have done an excellent job making lottery products accessible across the country. Now that brands are well established it would be grossly unfair to move the products to other channels.
2006: the year the internet passes magazines?
Merrill Lynch says that this year the Internet will collect more advertising dollars in the US than magazines and more than the Yellow Pages. Source: AdAge. While of itself no big deal, in advertising circles such things seem to matter and will help the snowball gather size.
Social networking evolution
The folks at JibJab have been testing JokeBox for several months. It’s a free social networking site where you can upload jokes, funny emails and the like and share them with others. In the three month beta 25,000 items were posted according to Paid Content. Independent retailers used to comfort themselves that there is nothing like across the counter customer interaction. While the Internet is yet to replace this, sites like JokeBox take this interaction further. On another level, what’s good about JokeBox is that it’s personal. I can be at the centre of the entertainment and for many this will be compelling.
Explode magazine the ‘most popular’
I get more comments about my blog entry on Explode magazine than any other. Every few days another comment lobs in my inbox. 80% are from teen males and positive and 20% from girls or parents and negative. regardless, Explode is a popular title. The impression I get is that teen males talk about Explode among themselves and this is where the slow but steady sales growth is coming from. The passion they express in their comments about the magazine surprises me. I was somewhat critical of the content and many went ballistic. I’ve been critical of many magazines over the last 16 months of blogging and Explode responses outstrip those for other titles by far.
The comments, over the last four months, range from this from a teen boy:
who ever wrote this is a moron explode is an excelent mag but u dont see it this is a short letter just saying ur a loser without brains this is however from a 13 year old i love the mag but for now good bye moronic ass
To this from a girl:
what makes the magazine so excellent? it it even educational? coming from a 13 year old i see you obviously haven’t developed brains just yet, who’s the moron now? how do you think 17-18 year old girls feel by being exploited for little boys like you to just stare at. it’s quite obvious that girls develop maturity alot quicker & could possibly be the reason that in most relationships the boy is older. find something else to read
To this from another teen boy:
While there’s no doubt that Explode is exploitative, I appreciate that it is pulling a demographic into my shop and therefore educating a new generation of newsagency shoppers. The challenge is to retain these people as magazine consumers versus Explode website visitors. The website is excellent and mirrors the tone of the magazine perfectly. Right now the more valuable content is in the magazine. All it takes is a financial model to make the website more valuable than the magazine itself.im a teenage male and i buy the teenage Explode magazine and i think that the explode magazine has made males read magazines more therefore more are reading not less
The intersection of the online rise and retail fall of magazines
“Only Women’s Day and People’s Friend today, my daughter gets her fix online now.”
The mother spoke with a tinge of sadness in her voice. They shop regularly together and visiting the newsagency was a treat because they all found what they wanted. Mother, daughter and mother’s mother. The daughter is more satisfied now with Girlfriend and other sites online than a magazine.
As the three women left the shop I mused that it would be handy to track traffic to websites like that for Girlfriend and to plot these compared to retail sales. There must be an intersection which publishers watch for. Based on this brief comment at the counter I felt out of date.
Young girls and boys are smart and if they can satisfy their interest in up to date news and information online then why buy a magazine. This where plotting the intersection would be valuable. It doesn’t take long for habits to change. For the short term we need to work harder at building the magazine buying habit among people 25 and younger. We need to help mothers pass on traditions to their daughters.
Most magazines are not affected at the moment. But at the fringes there is enough activity to measure.
Newspapers talking about the future of newspapers
It’s interesting to compare this story in The Australian last Thursday with this story at the website for The Sacramento Bee published on Sunday. While the story by John Lehmann in The Australian is upbeat and glosses over then impact of the Internet and disruption generally on newspapers, Dale Kasler’s piece at The Sacramento Bee is sobering and provides examples of how the economic model of newspapers has changed.
Newspapers reporting about the future of newspapers is a challenge. Overseas you’re more likely to see stories like those by Kasler, whereas here in Australia Lehmann’s approach is more common. I wonder if that’s publishers protecting each other or whether it is ignorance and fear.
The economic model for newspapers has changed. One only has to look at their investments in the last year in online businesses to understand the where publishers see the future. That is not to say that newspapers will die. Rather, they will morph from their current focus to a new model based more on analysis and opinion. This will bring a different type of advertiser. Stories like that from Lehmann perpetuate a spin which hides the real story.
I’d like to see Australian journalists report more completely on the impact of the Internet on newspapers. The better we understand the impact of change as being experienced in the US, and to a lesser extent Europe, the better we can manage and, indeed, embrace change here.
I own a newsagency with two retail outlets. I’m not concerned about the impact of the Internet on newspapers. This change presents an opportunity I’m ready to embrace.
Hesletine proposes magazine levy in the UK
The online press gazette, in Heseltine proposes magazine distribution levy, reports that the former deputy prime minister believes the industry should raise an “administrative levy” to help smaller shops sell more magazines. It claims he is backed the Periodical Publishers’ Association. Hesletine is quoted: “I was appalled by how bad the relationship was between publishers and newsagents. It didn’t make any sense for the producers not to see eye-to-eye with the front end. Nobody benefits from inefficient distribution, least of all publishers.”
With 65% of titles carried by Australian newsagents cash flow negative for newsagents, it would not be surprising to find that newsagents here start to organise themselves for similar financial support from publishers. Sales of popular titles suffer from the financial and operational drain on newsagents by the specialist less popular titles. That is, the very point of difference which publishers and newsagents crave about newsagencies is starving the channel of resources to compete with supermarkets, petrol outlets and convenience stores which sell only the top performing titles.
Jann Wenner on the future of magazines
The founder of Rolling Stone is quoted in this Wall Street Journal article which contemplates the future of magazines and, in particular, online published content. Wenner is positive about the medium term future of print magazines. The article is worth reading.
Easter newspaper frustration for customers
The Age in Melbourne yesterday (Good Friday) and today was pretty much the same newspaper except for the main news wraparound. Home delivery challenges of what is effectively a duplicate product notwithstanding, retail customers expressed their frustration in my shop today at the waste of paper and for being charged a premium Saturday rate for a product they already purchased the day before. The message from the customers I spoke with was if you’re going to sell on both days then product a different newspaper for each day.
Predicting the death of software developer magazines
Eric Sink likes to predict the end of businesses. This entry at his blog predicts the end of software developer magazines. His criteria are sound as are his conclusions. Computer magazine sales are in free fall and software developer magazines are leading the pack. Given the timely information about software development available online compared to in print, it makes sense to kill these titles before they cause all involved to loose too much money. Newsagents could use the space saved to better display titles in growing categories such as crosswords, crafts, women’s weeklies and fashion.
Google AdWords cold turkey
Eight months ago we launched an online ink and toner supply business, Inkfast, to see what we could achieve with a purely online business compared to selling the same products in our newsagency. Inkfast was advertised primarily on Google with some recent work with Yahoo. We’re at over $40,000 a month in ink and toner with most customers of the sort we would never see in a newsagency. The cost of customer acquisition has been falling steadily since month three to the point where we decided to rest the Google campaign and see what happens. Such a pause is timely going into Easter. It will be interesting to see the impact.
A key learning for us from this online business is how smart newsagents can leverage their infrastructure for access to customers their bricks and mortar business cannot access. Inkfast has been grown on a tight budget. Less control on our advertising spend would, I am sure, lead to over $100,000 a month in ink and toner sales. Leveraging these business customers who would not usually shop in a newsagency into other products is the next phase of the development of this business.
The sick magazine distribution system in Australia
How many hair magazines in a newsagency is too many? Six? Eight? Eleven? I’ve been in several newsagencies this week and each has eight or more different hair titles on their shelves and one with eleven. Only two of the titles come close to paying their own way. Newsagents are losing money on the rest. I’d suggest that average consumer interest in hair would be satisfied by a maximum of six titles and probably four. Newsagent could cut their range in half and start to make money out of the hair segment. This is where the problems with the magazine supply model kick in – getting supply of a title cut is difficult for newsagents even if they are losing money every month. If a distributor decides to cut a title and not carry it at all, another distributor is likely to pick up the title and push it out to newsagents – continuing the cash-flow problem.
Newsagents are overloaded with underperforming titles. The segments where this is most evident are: hair, cars, weddings, computers, computer games, science, crafts and music. It is in these segments that the return on investment is the lowest and newsagents are almost powerless to correct the situation.
The problem is so serious that the ACCC ought to look at the supply model. Newsagents are the only businesses not being compensated for their time and resources in the event of a title not selling.
I have talked here before about Cosmos magazine. That title is a good example of the problems with the magazine supply model. Here it is ten months into the life of the title and most newsagents are still losing money. Many have hundreds of dollars invested in the future of the title. These are small business operators unable to pay themselves an adequate wage yet the magazine ‘system’ forces them to invest capital in a magazine launch like Cosmos.
The system is sick and newsagents are running out of cash.
More newsagent frustration at Gloria Jeans deal by News Ltd
Continuing noise among newsagents about the News Ltd deal to place their newspapers at Gloria Jeans outlets. Several newsagents have complained that the new arrangements not only take sales from their stores but are loss making in terms of labour cost. Newspaper publishers could achieve incremental sales if they treated newsagents as business partners, removed restrictive business rules and rewarded success. Incremental newspaper sales are available in newsagencies if the publishers want that.
An update on our in store trial of LCD advertising panel
We have been using our large LCD panel for in store promotion for three months and while it’s too soon to individual products results, there is strong anecdotal evidence that lottery products benefit from this type of promotion. People are in line, they’re reminded of a super draw or a jackpot and it’s an easy purchase at the counter whereas they have to leave the line (not that the line is that long) to grab a copy off the shelves.
We’ve embraced the LCD unit for a local focus and have included photos of employees – all to underscore our focus on customer service. We feel this is more appropriate that only using it to push product like you see at supermarkets and elsewhere. We’re going to use it for a Mother’s Day feature – if we can get some our customers to agree to having their photos taken and displayed on the screen. We don;t see this screen as being only about advertising. We’re also playing with Flash to make better use of the LCD capabilities and we expect this to improve customer engagement.