A blog on issues affecting Australia's newsagents, media and small business generally. More ...

Author: Mark Fletcher

High retail tenancy costs hurt small business

When rent is 13% of your turnover, if you own a newsagency, you’re in trouble. Given that newspapers and magazines (60% of what you sell) have a fixed price and GP (between 20% and 25%) the challenge is to sell better margin product and increase sales overall. Consider the 25% for a moment. 13% goes in rent, 11% in wages, between 3% and 5% in theft and 3% to 6% in operational overheads. No one factor creates the challenge but unless you get your rent right your foundation is weak. This has been on my mind as we absorb another 4% rise. This is on top of the 17% last year. Traffic in the centre is flat at best yet we’re being asked to pay more. The price of most of what we sell (newspapers and magazines) has not kept pace with inflation over our ten years owning the business. Wages have risen at a rate well above inflation. So, we’re being hit on several fronts.

This is why newsagents, especially in shopping centres, are challenged. Operating alone, it is difficult to address the rent, range and management issues. At least by getting together through groups like newsXpress we’re able to leverage numbers in our favour in dealing with landlords and suppliers.

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Newsagency challenges

Chasing an $8,000 credit

Based on sales performance we returned $8,000 worth of magazine stock last month which was not due for return at that time. We had given the titles a good shot keeping the product on the shelves would have held us back from better displaying more successful product including product from the distributor in question.

The distributor disallowed our credit and said we would get the refund next month. They have the stock and the paperwork and our cash. The reaction from one of their call centre people was that “early returns are a privilege”. It took three levels of escalation and some pleading on our part to get the $8,000 credit allowed this month.

This happens all the time to newsagents. Payment for oversupply and a huge battle to get a refund for underperforming stock returned early.

No wonder newsagents complain about magazine cash flow.

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Newsagency challenges

Changes in lottery traffic present an opportunity for magazine publishers

Newsagents are awash with traffic from punters buying tickets in the various lottery jackpots. The Tuesday game, OzLotto Super 7’s is often jackpots now that the game has bee ‘tweaked’ and sales grow with each jackpot. Powerball on a Thursday regularly jackpots. This makes Tuesdays and Thursdays stronger traffic days than they were in the past for newsagents – something which publishers, and magazine publishers in particular, could leverage. In the case of my shop, for example, our customer traffic was up 100% yesterday on an average Thursday because of the Powerball jackpot of $15 million. That didn’t go off so next Thursday we have a $22 million jackpot. While I have plenty of product to to up-sell with, maybe a fresh women’s weekly would do well on a Thursday – leveraging this increased traffic.

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Newsagency challenges

NSW newsagent lottery business under risk

NSW newsagents are facing losing lottery business to supermarkets, pubs and clubs if my information is correct. It’s been suggested to me that supermarkets, especially, stand a good chance of getting lottery business which until now has been the almost exclusive domain of small business newsagents. Newsagents rely on lottery traffic to sell other items. Lottery purchases are part of the habitual newsagent visit each chip away at that risks consumers forgetting about newsagents and purchasing their newspaper, magazine, greeting card, stationery and cigarettes elsewhere.

The Government owned New South Wales Lotteries needs to consider any move away from newsagents very carefully. Newsagents have built the lottery brand and it is only through their efforts and exceptional customer service that lotteries is as strong as it is. To then take a chunk of that business and gift it to supermarkets and others would be a huge blow against small business. What government would do that?

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Newsagency challenges

New life for current affairs magazines

I’ve thought for more than a year now that current affairs magazines were close to death. Sales data told the story: down, down, down. Since the death of Kerry Packer, however, The Bulletin has improved in terms of appeal and sales, Time is selling (and promoting) better and The Monthly has realised it has to connect with the consumer. While the category remains tiny in the overall magazine space the data I am seeing suggests it is growing. We need more weekly categories in magazines to strengthen the habit. Consumers are responding to more commercial covers and what appear to be more relevant stories. Better covers mean that smart newsagents can safely put the title in a high traffic area such as near the newspapers or even on the counter.

Time is doing a great job promoting its weekly to newsagents including providing a cover shot in advance of product for those running in store LCD displays. It’s small efforts like this which support the retailer and boost sales.

While on The Monthly, Alan Jones is on the cover. The cover shot, while interesting, won’t help sell copies of the magazine because he is not a recognisable as he would have been in a more regular shot.

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magazines

Collusion is not a dirty word

“Newsstand sales will be improved by systematic pruning of titles.”

The April 2006 issue US published Circulation Management arrived yesterday. Writing on page 26 Baird Davis recommends to the US industry that they need a Title Proliferation Prevention Czar to develop distribution criteria (KPIs) which must be met before a title is approved for distribution.

“The magazine publishing industry must move beyond its self-destructive bickering and fear of governmental collusion roadblocks and adopt a program that reduces the display rack overcrowding conditions that are plaguing the newsstand market. Nothing less than the future of the newsstand channel is at stake.”

It will be no surprise to regular readers here that my view is Australia could use such a Czar – someone to decide if a title justifies being distributed. As it stands today, importers, publishers and magazine distributors make as decision about a title to be distributed. Newsagents have no say. Yet they carry a high cost of such decisions by having to provide labour and real-estate for potentially no return. Magazine distributors are paid a fee for use of their services.

I proposed such a move a month ago at a meeting with the magazine distributors. The immediate barrier is the ACCC. I am sure that once the ACCC understands how the current arrangements disadvantage newsagents by draining cash and making then inefficien and less competitive they would consider the suggestion. Consumers risk suffering because newsagencies will fall over and more magazines will be sold through the majors and this will result in a reduction in range.

Newsagent shelves are overflowing with underperforming stock is such quantity that they cannot adequately display the titles which are delivering growth. ACP and Pacific are suffering from the faulty supply model.

Newsagents are supplied stock based on what a distributor has to distribute and not based on what actually sells. This is what causes overcrowding of retail shelves and the drain on newsagent cash.

How many hair magazines do I need to satisfy consumer interest? Six, eight, fifteen? The Czar could consider this holistically rather than the current situation where each of the three distributors make decisions in isolation.

Without urgent action to fix the supply model to something more equitable for newsagents, the model itself will fail. Barid Davis’ suggestion for the US would be welcomed here by newsagents.

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magazines

My newsagency beats Coles’ FlyBys in the loyalty stakes

fhn-magcard2.JPGI launched this loyalty program in 2004. Customers who purchase 11 magazines in eight weeks can choose a magazine up to the value of $10.00 free of charge. The average magazine purchase is $4.50 and the average redemption $5.00. This equates to a 10% discount.

Over at Coles, if you purchase $49.50 worth of magazines, you accrue around 10 FlyBys points. FlyBys points can be redeemed for gift vouchers. You need 13,500 points for a $100 voucher. That equals 675 points for my free $5.00 magazine. So, I need to spend $3,375.00 to get a free $5.00 magazine.

Which deal is better? The Magazine Club Card I offer in my small business newsagency and has been rolled out across newsXpress stores or the FlyBys offer from Coles?

State Governments ought to regulate to force businesses to prominently publish in store and on receipts a present value for each point accrued.

Small businesses, like mine, ought to promote the benefit of their loyalty campaigns by directly comparing the reward per dollar with the likes of FlyBys. While occasional bonus offerings make FlyBys points more attractive, this is not happening enough. Most small business loyalty programs I have seen reward sooner and with more value than their big business counterparts.

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Newsagency challenges

Zoo Weekly price drop

Zoo Weekly drops from $3.95 to $1.95 next week as it tries to get blokes in the habit of a weekly magazine purchase. The key is to get the magazine located near newspapers. This would get Zoo picked up with the daily newspaper purchase. At present it’s next to Picture, People, FHM and Ralph and they are usually located away from the main traffic area. The price drop is currently for one week only.

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magazines

Are newsagents about to lose more magazine business?

Newsagents deliver newspapers and magazines to many other retail outlets. These outlets have long been called sub-agents. For a 50% share of gross profit newsagents deliver the stock, carry the account and refill stock as needed. It has been an important part of the newsagent business model and a low cost way of getting magazines into more outlets. In 2004 ACP delivered a blow to newsagents by going direct to many national brand petrol and convenience outlets. Much was made at the time of the fact that their main magazine publishing rival, Pacific, was not going direct.

I’ve been told by several people now (a newsagent and two people on the petrol side) that Pacific is a week away from going direct. If true, this will be a bigger blow to newsagents than the ACP move in that newsagents have drawn considerable strength from Pacific and their support for many years. The emotional impact will be considerable.

I don’t begrudge the ACP decision in 2004, nor the Pacific decision (if my sources prove to be correct). Their masters, Coles, Woolworths and national petrol chains are powerful and demanding. They want full commission on the sale of a magazine and if you are told that your national weekly title will be off the shelf in a matter of days unless you agree to a direct account then you’d make the decision. Coles and Woolworths are large, fat and hungry and they don’t care how many independent small businesses they push to extinction in their pusuit of a higher share price.

ACP copped a huge bagging from newsagents and some commentators for their move in 2004. It will be interesting to see the reaction of newsagents over the next few days to Pacific. To their credit, ACP delayed the financial impact for six months and put a compensation package on the table to mitigate the impact of the change. Pacific will need to at least be as generous as ACP.

Newsagencies in Australia were created by publishers in the 1880s. Our businesses are complex and finely balanced. The chipping away which has occurred, especially since the Howard Government driven deregulation in 1999, has harmed the model and made business challenging. The biggest challenge is that newsagents are disadvantaged by magazine supply arrangements which hark back to pre-deregulation. The problem is with the titles newsagent competitors refuse to carry – titles outside the top 100 sellers. An average newsagency has 1,000 titles – 65% of which are cash-flow negative. A smarter move by all involved in the 1999 deregulation would have been to negotiate new magazine supply arrangements.

If Pacific does go direct to major petrol and convenience outlets, magazine distributors must address the issue of supply arrangements for titles outside the top 100. Newsagents cannot sustain the continued challenge to their business model and sustain inequitable supply arrangements for unprofitable titles.

Some reading this will say boo hoo to newsagents. If you’re one of them. pick a newsagent, any newsagent and take the time to find out about their business. Look through their financial data. Then decide if you would invest your own money in the channel?

Newsagencies are unique and socially important businesses. They provide a personal community connection which only chemists come close to. To lose them would play into the hands of Coles and Woolworths and one day, down the track, you would realise what has been lost.

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Newsagency challenges

The evolution of magazines

Advertising Age reports on the Magazine Publishers of America second “Magazine 24/7” conference held in New York last week. Attention seems to have focused on the challenge of the impact of mobile devices on how people access news and information. As I have noted here for some time, the story is the thing. I am certain that magazine publishers will release stories so that consumers can track and purchase their areas of interest through other content aggregators rather than buying a whole product (magazine) with 50% or 60% content of no interest to me. This, of course, is a step beyond masthead websites such as those for Vogue, Girlfriend and others. It is also beyond the digital editions of magazines such as Sports Illustrated and Playboy.

While the evolution of magazines continues, consideration needs to be given to Australian newsagents who continue to be supplied by magazine publishers, through the three magazine distributors, as if no evolution to online and mobile is happening. Indeed, in the last year more than 400 new titles were supplied to newsagents and while some titles were killed off, there was a significant net increase in titles supplied. This is a problem for newsagents because the only real growth is happening at the top end of the marketplace. Outside the top 100 or 200 titles sales are flat and even falling. The supply model needs to be adjusted to reflect this. Lack of change to the supply model means newsagents are carrying more of a burden and this is at a cost which is unsustainable.

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magazines

Update on impact of industrial action on newsagents

Further to my earlier report about the industrial action by some magazine delivery drivers this week, I note the action was apparently due to rising fuel costs and refusal for them to pass on these costs.

Also, I have heard that some outlets affected seem to have been treated differently than others. For example, one retailer received replacement stock by courier while others nearby had to wait almost 24 hours. In another case, a newsagent, even though on a round affected by the action, reportedly received their stock on time.

In another case, the same driver delivers for two courier companies to the one area. One courier company has the contract for newsagents and the other for major outlets such as supermarkets and convenience chains. This is why newsagents were without magazines in some places while their competitors were fully stocked. It begs the question of why publishers did not use the alternative company to get newsagents covered.

Newsagents cannot afford to be without Take 5, That’s Life or Australian Women’s Weekly while their major competitors have stock. The industrial action this week has hurt many small businesses.

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Newsagency challenges

Microsoft and New York Times unveil new online reader

times.jpg

According to the Microsoft issued press release the New York Times developed Times Reader (shown above. Image source: Microsoft) will greatly enhance online readability of NYT content. The release claims the reader has a newspaper look and feel with continual updates and other online benefits.

“The Times Reader is a great next step in melding the readability and portability of the newspaper with the interactivity and immediacy of the Web,” said Arthur Sulzberger Jr., chairman of The New York Times Company and publisher of The New York Times. “We continually look for new ways and the latest technology to deliver our distinctive brand journalism to satisfy our audience’s changing expectations for consuming media.”

This announcement by Microsoft and the New York Times connects two very strong businesses for mutual benefit. Kudos to them. While it will encourage some to remind us that newspapers have a bright future, the reality is that Times Reader is offered as candy, to move offline consumers online. By enhancing the consumer experience of the New York Times branded content online people will make the transition from printed page to online. Given Sulzberger’s previous comments, this has to be his holy grail. Makes sense.

From a selfish Australian newsagency perspective, where more than half my current foot traffic is for newspaper purchases, I’d like to sell prepaid access to newspaper websites and thereby help the transition. It’s better to ride the wave for a bit than be dumped early in the roll. In the meantime I and others continue to evolve our retail newsagencies in response to the changing world. Unfortunately we’re in the minority.

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Newspapers

Backsliding in pursuit of sales: Google Adwords wins

Our April 13 cold turkey from our Google AdWords campaign promoting Inkfast, our online ink and toner business was short-lived. While sales remained strong it was the knowledge that we’d sell more to new customers which brought us back to the nipple of Google. What we have learned is to be smarter about when to run the campaign. There are more tyre kickers at certain times of the day. Having now tested Google against a radio (3AW) and fax (3,000 numbers) campaign, I know we’re getting more sales per dollar spent with Google than elsewhere. No wonder advertising revenue is challenged elsewhere.

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Uncategorized

Monthly magazines doing it tough

Comparing the performance of weekly magazine titles to monthlies and looking only at titles in the TOP 200, the data I am seeing from newsagents suggests that monthlies are struggling whereas weeklies are growing. If my small sample accurately reflects a national trend it’s proof magazine buying habits have changed.

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magazines

RIP Explode magazine

Despite having some fans as documented here recently, Explode magazine has been terminated according to a report from Mediaweek this morning. If I were Pacific Magazines I’d keep the website and build the brand from there. That’s where the target age group is.

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magazines

I didn’t need more Reader’s Digest

Magazine distributors can be like credit card companies. If you don’t need it they’ll give it to you anyway. My bank wants to give me more credit even though I have not used even a quarter of what they gave my on my card. “You’ll never know” was their justification. The distributor of Reader’s Digest increased my supply by 50% despite usually selling only 50% of what I used to receive. The increase made no sense. There was no business case. All this increase would do is suck cash from my business as I would return the unsold stock a month later and get the cash back a month or two after that. In all I’d be out the cash for up to three months. The benefit for the distributor is they would have my cash. I can’t imagine that Reader’s Digest would be all that happy.

Thankfully the magazine distributor is going to correct the situation. My point is that it shold not have happened in the first place. Many newsagents would not complain. The end result would be less space, time and money for more successful titles.

The magazine supply model in Australia disadvantages newsagents. Supermarkets and others would not face the situation I faced with Reader’s Digest. Despite providing high quality sales data on time, there are still suppliers to newsagents who ignore this for their own commercial gain.

That’s no way to treat a trading partner.

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magazines

Industrial action hurts newsagents, gives supermarkets a free kick

Industrial action by delivery drivers stopped magazines getting to many newsagents yesterday. Many newsagents in many shopping centres were without current stock while competitor supermarkets had stock – magazines are delivered to supermarkets in different runs and were far less affected. The harm of this action is that in newsagencies more than 50% of sales of weekly titles occur on the day of issue. This means that newsagents will have lost hundreds of dollars in sales for Take 5, That’s Life. I don’t care about the grievance the drivers have with their employer, it is appalling that they hurt small business newsagents and give a free kick to supermarkets.

I would expect a knock on effect from the action since future supply figures are based on sales data and the fall this week will not be understood by computer models unless someone intervenes and quarantine data.

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Newsagency challenges

Vogue leads online at Melbourne Fashion Week

Vogue has has kicked its online play up several notches with its coverage of Melbourne Fashion Week. It’s website, which was already attracting excellent traffic (see earlier item) will have won new visitors many of whom will stay. What this means for the print edition will only be seen with time. If consumers get their fashion fix online then maybe they feel less compelled to purchase the magazine? It’s unchartered territory and while the publisher will say there will be no impact, there must be. I’m not saying the magazine will ultimately disappear. I am saying sales will fall as a result of an excellent website under the same masthead.

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magazines

More on newspaper circulation figures

Considering the newspaper circulation data published last week and knowing the data newsagents gather, it would be easy to report on sales by title by day of week for any period and to break this down by newsagent, home delivery and sub retailer. For newsagent sales one could even report on down to quarter hour intervals. This type of paid copy sales data would have to be better than ‘circulation’. This data has been available for years. Around 50% of newsagents have a current industry approved computer system. In Victoria this is closer to 100%. The data is recorded according to industry agreed standards.

I use this data in my own newsagency to measure and grow newspaper sales. From a business perspective I can bank on paid sales whereas I cannot bank on promotional copies.

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Newspapers