I’ve gone back over sales data for my own newsagency to try and cost the financial impact on my business of lack of stock.
I’ve looked at sales achieved over the last three months when we have been over supplied a major weekly title. I have looked at the sales achieved in the last two or three days of shelf life of this product. I then looked at when we usually sell out when we receive our regular quantity.
Based on this I estimate that I am losing between ten and fifteen sales a week.
While this is less than $5,000 in business a year, it is actually considerably more than that. There is the cost of the add on sale which could have been achieved had the anchor product in their purchase plan been available. There is also the cost of losing a customer permanently.
If I had absolute control over my supply figures for weekly magazines, I would order at ten percent above the sales achieved in the previous six weeks. The scale out model used by publishers and distributors does not work for my business and I suspect many other newsagents. While it reduces wastage caused by over supply, it helps pushing customers to non newsagent outlets where stock is managed such that they have stock for the full seven days.
In an ideal world I would like to see a commitment to the newsagent channel that it is the channel of choice – meaning that the majority of newsagents will not be left without stock for major weekly publications for the entire on sale period.
By controlling stock in the newsagent channel as tightly as is done today, publishers are directing consumers to alternative outlets later in the week. This puts the newsagent channel at risk and it makes the alternative channels (including supermarkets) stronger.
Part of the publisher argument is that sales in newsagencies for weeklies peak in day one and day two. I have seen data from enough newsagencies to suggest that this is not the case in a significant number of newsagent outlets. I am seeing a spike day one and ay two and then good consistent sales through the week while they have stock.
In the newspaper side of my business it’s easier to get top up stock during the day. Since we started tracking lost trading hours (hours without a newspaper title on the shelf) we have increased sales. We cost the time without stock and with this are able to value the impact on the business.
The solution to this challenge of magazine supply lies in the data held in newsagencies. We have to unlock this in a timely way which allows publishers to limit their exposure to inefficient print runs and which helps newsagents maximise sales.